Analysis of economic prosperity index based on big data of electricity

Yujiao LIU; Kunhuang SONG; Xiang WANG

doi:10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2020059

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Analysis of economic prosperity index based on big data of electricity

Operation Technology | 更新时间：2024-06-05

- Analysis of economic prosperity index based on big data of electricity
- Telecommunications Science Vol. 36, Issue 6, Pages: 166-171(2020)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 国家电网有限公司大数据中心，北京 100031
  2. 国网信通亿力科技有限责任公司，福建福州 350003
  3. 国网能源研究院有限公司，北京 102209
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2020059
  CLC： TP393
- Published Online：2020-06，
  
  Published：20 June 2020
- 稿件说明：
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Yujiao LIU, Kunhuang SONG, Xiang WANG. Analysis of economic prosperity index based on big data of electricity[J]. Telecommunications science, 2020, 36(6): 166-171.
DOI：

Yujiao LIU, Kunhuang SONG, Xiang WANG. Analysis of economic prosperity index based on big data of electricity[J]. Telecommunications science, 2020, 36(6): 166-171. DOI： 10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2020059.

摘要

景气分析是一种经济周期的统计分析方法，利用月度或者季度数据经济统计序列，分析研判经济发展在周期性波动中所处的阶段，为政府经济政策决策及实施提供参考。用电数据是国民经济的“晴雨表”。基于时空电力数据，采用经典经济景气模型，在电力景气指数计算中，首次引入了X13-ARIMA季节调整算法，构建了基于电力大数据的经济景气指数，客观反映了经济运行状况，辅助预测经济发展的趋势，实现从电力视角观测经济的目标，为政府政策制定提供参考。

Abstract

Prosperity analysis is a statistical analysis method of economic cycle.By using monthly or quarterly data economic statistics sequence

the stage of economic development in periodic fluctuations can be analyzed and judged

which can provide reference for government economic policy decision-making and implementation.Electricity data is the “barometer” of national economy.Based on spatio-temporal electric power data and classical economic prosperity model

X13-ARIMA seasonal adjustment algorithm was firstly introduced in the calculation of electric prosperity index to construct an economic prosperity index based on big data of electric power

which objectively reflected the economic operation status and assists in predicting the economic development trend.The calculation achieves the economic goal from the perspective of electricity and provide reference for government policy making.

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references

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